Cardano’s native token is taking a beating. After Bitcoin dipped below $60,000, ADA briefly fell under $0.15 and now trades around $0.16, data cited by Crypto Potato frames this as a roughly 40% monthly crash.
That kind of drawdown invites a specific doomsday question. Crypto Potato asked three AI chatbots whether ADA could plunge to literal $0 this year. Their answers share a common theme. A bear-market collapse is one thing. A complete market disappearance is another.
Hoskinson’s “wave of failures” adds fuel to the panic
Crypto Potato ties the latest stress to a comment from Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson. In the article, Hoskinson says he is “taking a break” and warns of an upcoming “wave of failures in the ecosystem.”
Those words landed like a live wire. The article says they sparked more panic inside the community, with some readers expecting another leg down.
But price action and existential risk are not the same category. Crypto Potato’s framing pushes that distinction hard by moving from ADA’s percentage drop to the mechanical requirements for an asset to hit absolute zero.
What “ADA to $0” would actually require
Per Crypto Potato, Extremely Unlikely Perplexity argues the odds of ADA reaching $0 are “very slim.” It says a move of that magnitude would require “near-total failure of liquidity, listings, and market confidence approaching zero.”
That is not a generic reassurance. It is a list of market plumbing conditions. If ADA still trades in enough venues with enough marginal buyers, price can still drop hard without ever reaching a mathematical wipeout.
ChatGPT’s stance in the Crypto Potato piece is similar in structure. OpenAI’s platform says a meltdown to $0 would require a combination of catastrophic protocol failure or exploit, major exchanges delisting ADA, complete collapse of the ecosystem, and total abandonment by holders, developers, and validators.
And then it puts a number on it. Crypto Potato reports ChatGPT estimated the probability at less than 1%, and assigns a 45% chance that ADA trades between $0.10 and $0.20 during the remaining months of 2025.
Gemini: “bear market” is not “project ceases to exist”
Google’s Gemini, as quoted through Crypto Potato, takes the most categorical tone. It says the possibility of ADA slipping to $0 this year is “effectively nonexistent.”
Gemini draws a clear line between losing value in a bear market and dropping to absolute zero. Crypto Potato reports Gemini saying that for an established, top-20 cryptocurrency to hit $0, the project would need to “essentially have to cease to exist overnight.”
Gemini adds a market-structure argument too. It points to “millions of active users” and “strong trading volume across exchanges worldwide,” then links those to “massive decentralized community” and “active staking” that create an “indestructible floor,” according to the article.
Again, the specifics matter. The desk can quibble with how “indestructible floor” is worded. The key point is that Gemini is tying a price-to-zero scenario to project extinction plus total market abandonment, not just bad sentiment.
The numbers behind the threat level
Crypto Potato’s story turns the question into a risk ladder. Here is what the three AIs reportedly estimate.
| AI chatbot (via Crypto Potato) | ADA to $0 scenario | Other stated risk framing |
|---|---|---|
| Perplexity | Very slim because it needs “near-total failure of liquidity, listings, and market confidence” | Drawdown risk is more realistic than literal zero |
| ChatGPT | Less than 1% | 45% chance ADA trades between $0.10 and $0.20 in remaining 2025 months |
| Gemini | Effectively nonexistent | Distinguishes bear-market loss from project ceasing to exist |
near-total failure of liquidity, listings, and market confidence
The practical takeaway is not “ADA can’t crash.” It can, and the article already shows it did. The takeaway is that “$0” is a different kind of event. It needs a chain of failures that take out liquidity, exchanges, and participation at the same time.
What this means for holders watching price
Crypto Potato reports that Hoskinson’s “wave of failures” warning has increased community anxiety. That can matter for flows, leverage, and short-term sell pressure.
But the AI explanations, as summarized by Crypto Potato, are basically a checklist for market disappearance. Short of that, the token can underperform for a long time without ever becoming tradeless.
So the real risk for ADA may look less like a headline-grabbing zero and more like persistent drawdowns, shrinking liquidity during stress, and ongoing governance or ecosystem issues that dry up confidence.
Crypto Potato’s original question was about $0. The more grounded answer is about how many separate failure points would have to line up before an asset stops trading like an asset at all.