Bitcoin’s latest rally is drawing warnings, with analysts pointing to futures-driven speculation as a key driver.

According to Decrypt, analysts argue the surge was fueled by speculative futures trading, not broad-based, steadier demand. They say the market conditions resemble those that showed up before the 2022 crypto crash.

That matters because, in Decrypt’s framing, futures-heavy moves can look healthier in the short run while still leaving the system vulnerable. When positioning and leverage get crowded, the unwind risk grows if sentiment flips.

Decrypt also reports that this kind of setup has a historical precedent. The publication’s analysts draw a line between today’s futures behavior and the conditions that preceded the 2022 crash.

For holders of Bitcoin as an asset with risk, the takeaway is simple. If futures speculation is doing most of the work, the rally can be less durable than it appears, especially when the tape starts punishing leverage and crowded bets.