XRP is getting dragged lower again. NewsBTC says the token has fallen back into a “major support region around $1.10,” with sellers still steering short-term momentum.
The bigger issue sits on the monthly chart. NewsBTC reports that XRP’s monthly candle has already opened the current weekly candlestick below the 50-month exponential moving average (EMA). That puts the asset in what analyst EGRAG CRYPTO calls a “face-melting phase,” where more downside remains plausible before any sustained recovery.
What the monthly chart is saying
NewsBTC anchors EGRAG CRYPTO’s view in XRP’s behavior around the 50-month and 100-month EMAs. The analyst points to a recurring higher-timeframe pattern:
- When XRP loses the 50 EMA decisively, momentum tends to weaken.
- That weakness often turns into “emotional selling.”
- Then comes a final liquidity sweep into the 100 EMA.
- After that, a rally typically kicks off.
NewsBTC adds that this matters right now because XRP is currently trading in a zone where the market may still be “searching for its true macro bottom.” In that framework, the immediate expectation becomes a possible drop toward the 100 EMA.
EGRAG CRYPTO’s projected path, as described by NewsBTC, allows for further downside first, with the chart even pointing to a potential crash below $1.
Liquidity sweep first, then a recovery path
If you only look at the headlines, the story becomes about a dramatic $10 number. But NewsBTC stresses the sequence EGRAG CRYPTO is working with. The analyst’s argument is that the market may need one more liquidity sweep before a larger move.
On the recovery side, NewsBTC says EGRAG CRYPTO’s chart shows a major recovery path out of the current support range. It includes a break above the current cycle high at $3.65.
From there, NewsBTC reports upside levels highlighted at $9, $13, $17, $20, and $27.
That is the scenario logic. The point is not timing the bottom perfectly. NewsBTC says the analyst treats different entry prices as “probability zones” rather than a single trigger.
Probability-zone entries, not one “correct” price
The most unusual part of NewsBTC’s write-up is EGRAG CRYPTO’s proposed approach to entries across a wide range. Instead of waiting for confirmation, NewsBTC says the analyst is “actively building a position” at $1.09, $0.92, $0.85, and even $0.70.
Each level is treated as a chance of participating if the market tags a deeper liquidity sweep.
NewsBTC frames the risk-management angle with an example. It says entry differences at $1.09, $0.92, $0.85, or $0.70 won’t matter as much if XRP eventually reaches higher targets. In the same example, upside targets are listed at $7, $8, $13, and mid-double-digit prices.
This is still risk. These are price levels for an asset with volatility. The monthly setup described by NewsBTC could fail, and the “liquidity sweep then rally” pattern is not a guarantee.
Where the numbers land today
NewsBTC says that at the time of writing, XRP trades at $1.14, down 12% over the past seven days.
It also calculates the scale of rally required for the upside levels cited in EGRAG CRYPTO’s chart.
| Level (USD) | What it implies vs $1.14 (per NewsBTC) |
|---|---|
| $10 | About 777% rally |
| $13 | More than 1,040% gain |
| $27 | More than 2,260% rise |
Those are big moves. They may or may not happen. But they help explain why NewsBTC’s story focuses less on picking a single bottom and more on the “phase” concept tied to the monthly EMAs.
The deadline is the chart, not a headline
EGRAG CRYPTO’s thesis in NewsBTC is fundamentally chart-driven. The signal is the relationship between XRP’s monthly price action and the 50-month and 100-month EMAs. When the 50 EMA is lost decisively, NewsBTC says weak momentum and emotional selling tend to follow before a final sweep.
Right now, NewsBTC claims XRP’s candle positioning leaves the asset in a fragile spot. If that monthly structure holds, the path described becomes straightforward. First pressure. Then a liquidity sweep. Then a recovery attempt.
Either way, the next meaningful test is whether XRP can hold its monthly zone or keeps sliding toward the 100 EMA as EGRAG CRYPTO expects. That matters more than the $10 number itself, because NewsBTC’s framing makes the upside contingent on what happens before it.