XRP’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 41.64, the lowest reading the indicator has ever shown for the token, according to NewsBTC.

The key detail is timing. NewsBTC reports that June’s monthly candle is still open. If XRP recovers to above $1.30 before the month ends, the RSI could close well above the current level, weakening the “all-time low” claim.

NewsBTC traces the first public flag to XRP community commentator Austin. In an initial chart shared on June 4, Austin put the RSI at 42.64 while XRP traded around $1.18. NewsBTC says price kept falling, pulling the indicator down further to 41.62 at last check. The token was reported trading around $1.11.

What the monthly RSI reading is saying

RSI attempts to measure how quickly and how strongly price has been moving. NewsBTC adds a common rule of thumb: a reading below 30 is traditionally treated as “oversold.”

XRP’s monthly RSI at 41.64 sits above 30. So this is not the usual oversold trigger. What NewsBTC is calling out is different. It is “historically low” for XRP on the monthly time frame.

NewsBTC also places this near an earlier extreme. The lowest prior reading cited in the report is 43.75 from March 2020.

For context, NewsBTC ties the March 2020 RSI floor to a brutal period for crypto. It notes XRP bottomed out at $0.11 during that bear market and that the current RSI reading “edges out” the 2020 level, but still is not final because June remains incomplete.

MetricLatest figure in NewsBTCContext from NewsBTC
Monthly RSI (current)41.64Lowest ever for XRP
Monthly RSI (prior low)43.75March 2020
XRP price (last check)~ $1.11Reported after RSI dropped further
XRP price at earlier flag~ $1.18When Austin first posted
Threshold to change the monthly close> $1.30 by month endNewsBTC says this could lift the RSI close

Why the 2020 comparison matters, with a warning

NewsBTC frames the 2020 episode as the closest precedent. It says the monthly RSI bottom in 2020 aligned with what later became XRP’s price floor for that cycle.

From that low, NewsBTC reports XRP put in higher lows, then rose to $1.96 in April 2021. It later climbed again, with a surge in November 2024 cited by NewsBTC that pushed XRP as high as $3.40.

That $3.40 peak is described as roughly a 580% gain versus the October lows of that prior year. The implication is straightforward: if the current monthly RSI trough behaves like 2020’s trough, it could mark a late-cycle low.

But NewsBTC includes the counterweight. One month’s RSI can still change before it prints. The June close is the gate that determines whether the “all-time low” survives.

XRP’s drawdown shows up across the tape

The RSI story does not live in isolation. NewsBTC says XRP’s market cap fell from about $82.5 billion at the start of the week to around $69 billion at the time of writing. That is a drop of roughly 15%.

It also reports the current price revisits levels last seen in early February.

NewsBTC adds another layer by comparing XRP’s decline to its October 2025 peak. It states XRP is about 61% below its $2.84 high from October 2025, and that the drop has stretched across several months without a “meaningful recovery,” per the report.

Broader market pressure may be part of the same weather

NewsBTC also points to wider crypto weakness during the same week. It says Bitcoin dropped toward the $63,000 mark after Strategy, associated with Michael Saylor, confirmed it sold 32 BTC from its stash of more than 800,000 BTC.

NewsBTC further claims total crypto market cap shed $330 billion over a week. In that environment, a monthly RSI dip for XRP is less likely to be a token-specific miracle and more likely to be a reflection of persistent risk-off pressure.

The deadline to watch is the June close

NewsBTC is explicit about the “confirmation” readers should wait for. The monthly RSI number is not final until June ends.

If XRP does not rebound past the $1.30 level by month end, NewsBTC implies the RSI trough could remain at or near the reported all-time low. If it does, the RSI close could jump enough to reduce the signal’s force.

In other words, the indicator is flashing. The month is not finished. And until it is, the “all-time low” is still a moving target, not a locked chart milestone.